Week 12 Starts and Sits: Will You Win This Week?

QB Start: Josh Allen

 

Despite Josh Allen’s mid-season struggles, he has started to heat up again.  Before last week’s bye, Josh Allen was able to put up a very nice game against the Cardinals.  Allen racked up a strong 26.5 fantasy points, and the offense looked sharp.  The Bills receiving core was healthy and showed us what they look at their best.  In week 11, Allen and the Bills should be able to keep the success going.  Allen will have a very favorable matchup against the Chargers defense who just allowed the New York Jets to score 24 points.  Look for Allen to keep his fantasy success going during week 12.  

 

QB Start: Derek Carr

 

Overall, Derek Carr may be the most underrated quarterback in the NFL.  He has led the Raiders to a strong 6-4 record and has a lot to show for it.  Last week, Carr led the Raiders to a strong 31 points against a strong Chiefs defense.  Even though the Raider’s offense has been occasionally led by the strong running game, there have been times where Carr has proven fantasy value.  Coming off a strong 21 fantasy points, Carr should be able to surpass that this week.  The Raiders will face a weak Falcons defense that allows the most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.  Carr is a very good stream for week 12 if you are weak at the position.  

 

QB Sit: Ryan Tannehill

 

On the sit list, for week 12 is Ryan Tannehill.  Tannehill and the Titans have had possibly the hardest schedule over the past 3 weeks, facing Chicago, Indianapolis, and Baltimore.  Over this span, Tannehill has averaged just 15 fantasy ppg over this span.  This week, the struggle will continue.  Tannehill will face the Colts once again and will be in for another rough one.  When he faced the Colts, Tannehill failed to surpass 10 fantasy points.  He will not do well this week and should be kept on all benches.  

 

QB Sit: Ben Roethlisberger

 

Even though Ben has been having a great fantasy season, there have been matchups that make Ben a tough start.  Ben has shown the ability to score 20+ against a struggling defense, but not against the Ravens.  When the Steelers and Ravens faced off in week 8, Ben struggled as he only scored 15 fantasy points.  Now in week 12, Ben faces the Ravens again.  The game is going to be cold, low scoring, and very physical, and I don’t expect Ben to get over 15 points this week.  Start him if he’s your only choice, otherwise look elsewhere.    

 

RB Start: D’Andre Swift

 

Last week, it was very unfortunate for Swift owners when he was ruled out with a concussion.  Swift had a beautiful matchup and failed to suit up.  What may have been bad for Swift owners, would have been if Peterson racked up a nice day, which could have taken touches away from Swift in the future.  However, the Lions backfield was shut down.  This week, Swift is expected to come back.  He has a very favorable matchup against the Texans who surrender the 3rd to most fantasy points to opposing running backs.  Look for Swift to have a very big game on Thanksgiving morning.  

 

RB Start: Todd Gurley

 

Last week, Gurley had a very tough matchup against the Saints, who rank #1 in the league against the run.  This shows as Gurley was never able to get it going on the floor.  It didn’t help that the Falcon’s offense was shut down, as Gurley didn’t get many chances to get into the endzone.  Now, Gurley has a very good chance to get back on track this week.  The Falcons and Raiders will face off in week 12, which should be a very high-scoring game.  Gurley should be able to find the endzone, and possibly more than once.  Start him with confidence this week.  

 

RB Sit: Melvin Gordon

 

After an amazing performance last week, one may think Gordon is a must-start this week.  However, he’s not.  Last week, Gordon scored 18 fantasy points as he found the endzone twice.  This week, he won’t have such an easy time scoring.  Gordon is still struggling to get a full workload, as any given week, Philip Lindsay may be the one getting the workload and production.  Despite who gets it, both will struggle this week.  The Broncos offense will try to have a successful day against the strong Saints defense but may struggle due to the inconsistent production from quarterback Drew Lock.  Not to mention, the Saints defense just surrendered only 26 rushing yards to Todd Gurley.  Sit Gordon this week. 

 

RB Sit: Kenyan Drake

 

There has been no bigger let down this season then Kenyan Drake.  Drafted in most leagues in the second round, some in the first, Drake has had a failure of the season.  Currently, Drake ranks 17th amongst running backs.  A big part of the lack of production has been due to Chase Edmonds.  Over the past 3 weeks, Drake is only averaging 13 carries per game.  He has not been able to do much with the given workload, as he has averaged just 9 fantasy points in this span.  It won’t get much better for Drake this week as he faces a tough Patriots defense that allowed just 15 rushing yards to Duke Johnson last week.  Drake is not a must-start this week but can be used as a flex.  

 

WR Start: Terry McLaurin

 

There are 3 guaranteed things in life.  Death, Taxes, and Terry Mclaurin fantasy production.  Despite the quarterback situation all season long in Washington, Terry still ranks 11 amongst receivers.  He has not had under 10 fantasy points since week 5 and has a very good matchup this week.  He will mainly be lined up against cornerback Trevon Diggs, and the rest of the Cowboys secondary who let up the 2nd to most fantasy points to opposing receivers.  Terry should have a great game on Thanksgiving day. 

 

WR Start: Will Fuller

 

Over the past 2 weeks, Fuller hasn’t been able to keep up the level of fantasy production he’s had most of the year.  Until week 10, Fuller had a touchdown in 7 straight games.  Still, Fuller was able to rack up 80 yards last week against a tough Patriots defense.  On Thanksgiving morning, I think Fuller will begin a new touchdown streak.  He will have a very nice matchup against the struggling Lions defense.  Fire up Will Fuller this week.  

 

WR Sit: Tyler Boyd

 

This year, Tyler Boyd has been one of the best draft picks.  Selected towards the end in most drafts, Boyd has proven fantasy relevance and the need to be selected earlier in upcoming years.  He has clicked very nicely with rookie quarterback Joe Burrow, and that will be very important in years to come.  However, in last week’s loss, Burrow suffered a torn ACL and will be out for the year.  Now, Boyd becomes a tough start.  He will have a quarterback under center who’s production is unknown at the time, and Boyd should not be started if better options are available.  

 

WR Sit: Brandon Aiyuk

 

With injuries still affecting the 49ers in a big way, Aiyuk would usually be a start.  However, this week he has the worst possible matchup,  Being the wr1 on the team, means he will most likely face the top corner. This week, that happens to be the best in the league, Jalen Ramsey.  Aiyuk will have to go up against Ramsey and does not hold much value for week 12.  Sit him this week.  

 

TE Start: Hunter Henry

 

Henry has been a solid fantasy tight end all year.  Besides Waller and Kelce, it is hard to find a tight end to put up consistent fantasy points.  Well, this week Henry will look to continue his streak.  In back to back games, Henry has caught 4 passes and a touchdown.  He has been a clear threat in the red zone for Herbert and should be again this week.  Henry will be up against the Buffalo defense that ranks 3rd to last against tight ends.  I think Henry will finish as a top 3 tight end this week.  

 

TE Sit: Jonnu Smith

 

After starting the season red hot, Smith has really cooled down as it’s gone along. He has depended solely on touchdowns, and not yards and catches.  This has not resulted for much as he has only caught 2 touchdowns in the past 6 weeks.  In this span, he has not surpassed 32 yards and will have another tough matchup this week against the Colts.  In week 10 against the Colts, Smith only had 2 catches, and I expect that type of production once again.  Sit him down this week for a streaming option, someone like Dalton Schultz

 

Flex Start: Duke Johnson

 

When David Johnson got hurt in week 8, Duke Johnson filled in nicely scoring 13 fantasy points.  Then, David Johnson went on IR, and we thought Duke would be a nice rb2.  Well, he has been the opposite.  In the past 2 weeks, Duke has not gotten over 6 points.  Even though he played 2 solid run defenses, we expected Duke to be a solid start.  In week 12, I think Duke will finally get it going.  He will be running against the Lions defense that ranks last in the league against the run.  Duke is a great flex this week.  

 

Flex Sit: Marquise Brown

 

Brown is almost out of time to prove himself as a fantasy starter.  All offseason, there was talk about Brown getting into amazing shape, and how he would be a crucial part of the Ravens electric offense.  Well, the Ravens offense isn’t electric and he is not a crucial part of it.  It just doesn’t seem like Lamar Jackson can click with Brown in ways they had hoped for.  Opposing defenses are ready for the big plays by Brown and it has shown.  He has not caught over 3 passes since week 6 and will be lined up against star corner, Joe Haden this weekend.  Don’t start Brown this week.  

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